Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 3.106831 3.714098 4.392487 5.204128 6.146290 7.202923 8.474972
2025-10-26 2.200997 2.964307 3.907382 5.148540 6.728087 8.659217 11.185432
2025-11-02 1.596235 2.381657 3.438517 4.943818 7.007939 9.710680 13.483099
2025-11-09 1.203776 1.966836 3.073304 4.760081 7.223462 10.638024 15.663632
2025-11-16 0.975069 1.726201 2.888855 4.767906 7.662383 11.869806 18.339233
2025-11-23 0.805470 1.535677 2.735507 4.779552 8.081201 13.085319 21.078311
2025-11-30 0.664328 1.359655 2.568671 4.732378 8.383896 14.133705 23.639811
2025-12-07 0.525973 1.156998 2.318545 4.501698 8.348246 14.634434 25.378698
2025-12-14 0.441936 1.038224 2.193793 4.462806 8.615613 15.626417 27.959875
2025-12-21 0.376032 0.941134 2.091368 4.445059 8.908657 16.674350 30.703122
2025-12-28 0.349274 0.921967 2.136373 4.707539 9.727495 18.677350 35.195541
2026-01-04 0.313097 0.873557 2.113339 4.831420 10.297284 20.285441 39.120471
2026-01-11 0.286101 0.842681 2.125437 5.033685 11.049118 22.301539 43.955037
2026-01-18 0.247885 0.775178 2.046323 5.035203 11.408022 23.631008 47.665202
2026-01-25 0.204177 0.682042 1.891971 4.851203 11.369485 24.208758 50.037635
2026-02-01 0.168448 0.601144 1.751371 4.675554 11.323934 24.760803 52.391367
2026-02-08 0.147336 0.557376 1.694765 4.684815 11.670451 26.102339 56.336735
2026-02-15 0.129285 0.518126 1.642663 4.696766 12.021827 27.476980 60.435739
2026-02-22 0.111560 0.474761 1.571359 4.650468 12.235058 28.581697 64.070009
2026-03-01 0.090601 0.413374 1.437294 4.423391 12.003594 28.735107 65.790670
2026-03-08 0.078450 0.380135 1.378497 4.385114 12.213087 29.839496 69.530289
2026-03-15 0.068510 0.352131 1.330052 4.367647 12.470078 31.063856 73.596371
2026-03-22 0.066137 0.354469 1.377814 4.626078 13.437641 33.926213 81.304418